
Estimated NIL value
$10K
Model estimate. This is not a reported contract.
Transfer Vulnerability Score
2 / 100
4th
Low risk. Percentile vs all active college players we track.
HS recruit
Class
Junior
Seasons left (incl. 2026)
3 seasons
Portal entry
January 23, 2026
Luke Moga is a Junior QB from Phoenix, AZ. Luke Moga entered the transfer portal from Oregon on January 23, 2026 and committed to New Mexico. Luke Moga has a TransferPortl Transfer Vulnerability Score of 2 out of 100, a relative risk score for entering the transfer portal.
Updated Nov 9, 2026
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Transfer Details
TVS History
Current TVS
50
Highest TVS
50
Nov 1, 2026
Each step is a saved weekly score; dots mark where the score changed. Hover to read any saved score. Model signals include recruiting profile, production and usage, team transfer rate, coaching changes, position, and prior transfer history. TVS is a relative risk score. It is not a literal probability.
Before past portal windows
| Window | Team | TVS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oregon | 43 High | Entered portal |
| 2025 | Oregon | 32 Elevated | Did not enter |
Each score comes from a model trained only on seasons before that roster year, so it shows what TVS would have said at the time.
Market Value History
Current market value
$9,862
Highest market value
$26,440
Sep 13, 2025
Each step is a saved TransferPortl estimate; dots mark where the estimate changed. Hover to read any saved estimate. Team logos mark recorded team changes. Historical points use point-in-time cumulative statistics and do not use later-season production.
Transfer History
Original School
OregonJanuary 11, 2026
Oregon → New Mexico
Committed
Recruitment
Class of 2024
Committed to Oregon Apr 2023
Season Statistics
| Season | Team | Comp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | New Mexico | 25 | 40 | 259 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 | Oregon | 3 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 49 | 0 |
2026 New Mexico QB Room
Toa FaavaeQB · $227K
Jack LayneQB · $7K
James LaubsteinQB · $6K
Cade MitchellQB · $4K
Gabriel MotschenbacherQB · $2KMost Likely to Leave New Mexico
Chris Gant Jr.S · New Mexico
Cade KeithTE · New Mexico
Frankie Edwards IIICB · New Mexico
Zhaiel SmithWR · New Mexico
Toa FaavaeQB · New Mexico
Brett KarhuDE · New MexicoSimilar QB Players







