NevadaQBCommitted

Luke Duncan

Position coach (Nevada, 2026): Trey Tinsley

Orinda, CASenior#12

Report incorrect data

Estimated NIL value

$16K

Model estimate. This is not a reported contract.

Transfer Vulnerability Score

2 / 100

4th

Low risk. Percentile vs all active college players we track.

HS recruit

Class

Senior

Seasons left (incl. 2026)

2 seasons

Portal entry

January 07, 2026

Luke Duncan is a Senior QB from Orinda, CA. Luke Duncan entered the transfer portal from UCLA on January 7, 2026 and committed to Nevada. TransferPortl estimates Luke Duncan's NIL market value at $16K, a model estimate rather than a reported contract. Luke Duncan has a TransferPortl Transfer Vulnerability Score of 2 out of 100, a relative risk score for entering the transfer portal.

Updated Nov 9, 2026

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Transfer Details

UCLATO

Nevada

Advanced Statistics

2026 · 55 att

AY/A

1.45

1st

aDOT

7.8 yds

27th

EPA / Pass Play

-0.30

2nd

Percentiles rank this season against every 2026 FBS and FCS QBs with the same minimum sample. Higher is better.

AY/A uses passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and attempts. aDOT uses CFBD air-yard data. Both update with the weekly data build.

TVS History

Current TVS

Highest TVS

Nov 9, 2026

Each step is a saved weekly score; dots mark where the score changed. Hover to read any saved score. Model signals include recruiting profile, production and usage, team transfer rate, coaching changes, position, and prior transfer history. TVS is a relative risk score. It is not a literal probability.

Before past portal windows

Window	Team	TVS	Outcome
2026	UCLA	54 Very high	Entered portal
2025	UCLA	43 High	Did not enter
2024	UCLA	24 Moderate	Did not enter

Each score comes from a model trained only on seasons before that roster year, so it shows what TVS would have said at the time.

Market Value History

Current market value

$15,785

Highest market value

$64,752

Nov 22, 2025

Each step is a saved TransferPortl estimate; dots mark where the estimate changed. Hover to read any saved estimate. Team logos mark recorded team changes. Historical points use point-in-time cumulative statistics and do not use later-season production.

Transfer History

Original School

UCLA

January 07, 2026

UCLA → Nevada

Committed

Recruitment

Class of 2023

Committed to UCLA Jun 2022

Season Statistics