DukeQBCommitted

Ari Patu

Position coach (Duke, 2026): Jonathan Brewer

Folsom, CAGraduate6'4"230 lb#11

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Estimated NIL value

$60K

Model estimate. This is not a reported contract.

Transfer Vulnerability Score

2 / 100

4th

Low risk. Percentile vs all active college players we track.

HS recruit

Class

Graduate

Seasons left (incl. 2026)

Final seasonUnconfirmed: check the school bio

Portal entry

January 07, 2026

Ari Patu is a 6'4", 230-lb Graduate QB from Folsom, CA. Ari Patu entered the transfer portal from North Alabama on January 7, 2026 and committed to Duke. TransferPortl estimates Ari Patu's NIL market value at $60K, a model estimate rather than a reported contract. Ari Patu has a TransferPortl Transfer Vulnerability Score of 2 out of 100, a relative risk score for entering the transfer portal.

Updated Nov 9, 2026

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No predictions yet for Ari Patu. The crowd pick shows after 5 more.

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Transfer Details

North AlabamaTO

Duke

Advanced Statistics

2025 · 95 att

AY/A

4.60

11th

EPA / Pass Play

0.11

30th

Percentiles rank this season against every 2025 FBS and FCS QBs with the same minimum sample. Higher is better.

AY/A uses passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and attempts. aDOT uses CFBD air-yard data. Both update with the weekly data build.

TVS History

Current TVS

Highest TVS

Nov 9, 2026

Each step is a saved weekly score; dots mark where the score changed. Hover to read any saved score. Model signals include recruiting profile, production and usage, team transfer rate, coaching changes, position, and prior transfer history. TVS is a relative risk score. It is not a literal probability.

Before past portal windows

Window	Team	TVS	Outcome
2026	North Alabama	12 Low	Entered portal
2025	North Alabama	8 Low	Did not enter
2024	Stanford	47 High	Entered portal

Each score comes from a model trained only on seasons before that roster year, so it shows what TVS would have said at the time.

Market Value History

Current market value

$60,174

Highest market value

$61,659

Sep 19, 2026

Each step is a saved TransferPortl estimate; dots mark where the estimate changed. Hover to read any saved estimate. Team logos mark recorded team changes. Historical points use point-in-time cumulative statistics and do not use later-season production.

Transfer History

Original School

North Alabama

January 07, 2026

North Alabama → Duke

Committed

Recruitment

Class of 2021

Committed to Stanford Apr 2020

Season Statistics