TransferPortl
UCFRBCommitted

Duke Watson

Position coach (UCF, 2026): Jimmy Beal

Forsyth, GAJunior#26
Estimated NIL value
$318K
Model estimate. This is not a reported contract.
Transfer Vulnerability Score
2 / 100
4th
Low risk. Percentile vs all active college players we track.
HS recruit
Class
Junior
Seasons left (incl. 2026)
3 seasons
Portal entry
January 10, 2026

Duke Watson is a Junior RB from Forsyth, GA. Duke Watson entered the transfer portal from Louisville on January 10, 2026 and committed to UCF. TransferPortl estimates Duke Watson's NIL market value at $318K, a model estimate rather than a reported contract. Duke Watson has a TransferPortl Transfer Vulnerability Score of 2 out of 100, a relative risk score for entering the transfer portal.

Updated Nov 9, 2026
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Transfer Details

Advanced Statistics

2026 · 94 car
EPA / Rush
0.18
76th
Yards / Carry
6.3 yds
88th
Yards / Touch
6.0 yds
77th
Scrimmage Yards
611
77th
Rush Usage
34.7%
78th
Overall Usage
18.8%
73rd

Percentiles rank this season against every 2026 FBS and FCS RBs with the same minimum sample. Higher is better.

TVS History
Current TVS
46
Highest TVS
52
Nov 1, 2026
TVS historyThe current transfer risk score is 46 out of 100. The highest saved score is 52.050100Sep 20, 2026Nov 9, 2026
Each step is a saved weekly score; dots mark where the score changed. Hover to read any saved score. Model signals include recruiting profile, production and usage, team transfer rate, coaching changes, position, and prior transfer history. TVS is a relative risk score. It is not a literal probability.
Before past portal windows
WindowTeamTVSOutcome
2026Louisville54 Very highEntered portal
2025Louisville14 LowDid not enter

Each score comes from a model trained only on seasons before that roster year, so it shows what TVS would have said at the time.

Market Value History
Current market value
$317,507
Highest market value
$510,373
Dec 21, 2024
Market value historyThe current estimated market value is $317,507. The highest estimated value is $510,373.$0$286K$572K20252026LouisvilleUCFAug 31, 2024Nov 9, 2026
Each step is a saved TransferPortl estimate; dots mark where the estimate changed. Hover to read any saved estimate. Team logos mark recorded team changes. Historical points use point-in-time cumulative statistics and do not use later-season production.
Transfer History
Original School
Louisville logoLouisville
January 10, 2026
Louisville → UCF
Committed
Recruitment
Class of 2024
Committed to Georgia Tech Mar 2023 -> flipped to Louisville Jun 2023
Season Statistics
SeasonTeamRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TD
2026UCF9459638150
2025Louisville4915816491
2024Louisville6759775601
2026 UCF RB Room
Full UCF roster and portal moves
Most Likely to Leave UCF
Likely transfers at every school
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