TransferPortl
Arkansas StateLBRostered

Nigel Nelson

Pensacola, FLSophomore5'11"226 lb#22
Estimated NIL value
$3K
Model estimate. This is not a reported contract.
Transfer Vulnerability Score
55 / 100
100th
Very high risk. Percentile vs all active college players we track.
HS recruit
Class
Sophomore
Seasons left (incl. 2026)
4 seasons

Nigel Nelson is a 5'11", 226-lb Sophomore LB at Arkansas State from Pensacola, FL. Nigel Nelson has a TransferPortl Transfer Vulnerability Score of 55 out of 100, a relative risk score for entering the transfer portal.

Updated Nov 9, 2026
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Advanced Statistics

2025 · 54 tkl
Havoc Plays
4
48th
Ball Plays
2
79th
Solo Tackle Rate
38.9%
19th

Percentiles rank this season against every 2025 FBS and FCS LBs with the same minimum sample. Higher is better.

TVS History
Current TVS
55
Highest TVS
55
Nov 8, 2026
TVS historyThe current transfer risk score is 55 out of 100. The highest saved score is 55.050100Sep 22, 2026Nov 9, 2026
Each step is a saved weekly score; dots mark where the score changed. Hover to read any saved score. Model signals include recruiting profile, production and usage, team transfer rate, coaching changes, position, and prior transfer history. TVS is a relative risk score. It is not a literal probability.
Before past portal windows
WindowTeamTVSOutcome
2026Arkansas State20 ModerateDid not enter

Each score comes from a model trained only on seasons before that roster year, so it shows what TVS would have said at the time.

Market Value History
Current market value
$3,484
Highest market value
$60,567
Sep 12, 2026
Market value historyThe current estimated market value is $3,484. The highest estimated value is $60,567.$0$34K$68K2026Arkansas StateAug 30, 2025Nov 9, 2026
Each step is a saved TransferPortl estimate; dots mark where the estimate changed. Hover to read any saved estimate. Team logos mark recorded team changes. Historical points use point-in-time cumulative statistics and do not use later-season production.
Recruitment
Class of 2025
Committed to Florida Atlantic Feb 2024 -> decommitted Dec 2024 -> committed to Arkansas State Dec 2024
Season Statistics
SeasonTeamTacklesSoloTFLSacksPBU
2026Arkansas State300.500
2025Arkansas State5421112
2026 Arkansas State LB Room
Full Arkansas State roster and portal moves
Most Likely to Leave Arkansas State
Likely transfers at every school
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