
Estimated NIL value
$12K
Model estimate. This is not a reported contract.
Transfer Vulnerability Score
32 / 100
91st
Elevated risk. Percentile vs all active college players we track.
HS recruit
Class
Junior
Seasons left (incl. 2026)
3 seasons
Shay Smith is a 6'2", 215-lb Junior QB at UTEP from El Paso, TX. TransferPortl estimates Shay Smith's NIL market value at $12K, a model estimate rather than a reported contract. Shay Smith has a TransferPortl Transfer Vulnerability Score of 32 out of 100, a relative risk score for entering the transfer portal.
Updated Nov 9, 2026
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TVS History
Current TVS
32
Highest TVS
39
Oct 4, 2026
Each step is a saved weekly score; dots mark where the score changed. Hover to read any saved score. Model signals include recruiting profile, production and usage, team transfer rate, coaching changes, position, and prior transfer history. TVS is a relative risk score. It is not a literal probability.
Before past portal windows
| Window | Team | TVS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UTEP | 36 High | Did not enter |
| 2025 | UTEP | 19 Moderate | Did not enter |
Each score comes from a model trained only on seasons before that roster year, so it shows what TVS would have said at the time.
Market Value History
Current market value
$11,792
Highest market value
$16,752
Sep 12, 2026
Each step is a saved TransferPortl estimate; dots mark where the estimate changed. Hover to read any saved estimate. Team logos mark recorded team changes. Historical points use point-in-time cumulative statistics and do not use later-season production.
Recruitment
Class of 2024
Committed to UTEP Jan 2024
Season Statistics
| Season | Team | Comp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UTEP | 3 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 30 | 1 |
| 2024 | UTEP | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
2026 UTEP QB Room
EJ ColsonQB · $69K
Raymond Moore IIIQB · $14K
Bodey WeaverQB · $5K
Chad WarnerQB · $4K
Braesen LeonQB · $2KMost Likely to Leave UTEP
Mason FergusonWR · UTEP
Chad WarnerQB · UTEP
TJ TillmanCB · UTEP
Nik HenryWR · UTEP
Carmelo TaylorWR · UTEP
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