TransferPortl
TexasQBRostered

Arch Manning

New Orleans, LASenior6'4"222 lb#16
Estimated NIL value
$5.1M
Model estimate. This is not a reported contract.
Transfer Vulnerability Score
22 / 100
79th
Moderate risk. Percentile vs all active college players we track.
HS recruit
Class
Senior
Seasons left (incl. 2026)
2 seasons

Arch Manning is a 6'4", 222-lb Senior QB at Texas from New Orleans, LA. TransferPortl estimates Arch Manning's NIL market value at $5.1M, a model estimate rather than a reported contract. Arch Manning has a TransferPortl Transfer Vulnerability Score of 22 out of 100, a relative risk score for entering the transfer portal.

Updated Nov 9, 2026
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Advanced Statistics

2026 · 255 att
AY/A
8.13
76th
aDOT
8.3 yds
39th
EPA / Pass Play
0.24
64th

Percentiles rank this season against every 2026 FBS and FCS QBs with the same minimum sample. Higher is better.

AY/A uses passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and attempts. aDOT uses CFBD air-yard data. Both update with the weekly data build.

TVS History
Current TVS
22
Highest TVS
29
Sep 29, 2026
TVS historyThe current transfer risk score is 22 out of 100. The highest saved score is 29.050100Sep 22, 2026Nov 9, 2026
Each step is a saved weekly score; dots mark where the score changed. Hover to read any saved score. Model signals include recruiting profile, production and usage, team transfer rate, coaching changes, position, and prior transfer history. TVS is a relative risk score. It is not a literal probability.
Before past portal windows
WindowTeamTVSOutcome
2026Texas5 LowDid not enter
2025Texas36 HighDid not enter
2024Texas21 ModerateDid not enter

Each score comes from a model trained only on seasons before that roster year, so it shows what TVS would have said at the time.

Market Value History
Current market value
$5,115,165
Highest market value
$5,115,165
Sep 12, 2026
Market value historyThe current estimated market value is $5,115,165. The highest estimated value is $5,115,165.$0$2.86M$5.73M202420252026TexasNov 25, 2023Nov 9, 2026
Each step is a saved TransferPortl estimate; dots mark where the estimate changed. Hover to read any saved estimate. Team logos mark recorded team changes. Historical points use point-in-time cumulative statistics and do not use later-season production.
Recruitment
Class of 2023
Committed to Texas Jun 2022
Season Statistics
SeasonTeamCompAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush AttRush YdsRush TD
2026Texas1692552,027187751102
2025Texas2484043,1632679239910
2024Texas619093892251084
2023Texas253000370
2026 Texas QB Room
Full Texas roster and portal moves
Most Likely to Leave Texas
Likely transfers at every school
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